XY Evolutions ETB Pull Rates (712 packs)
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With evolutions doing all sorts of crazy things, we opened up our closet of 51 Blastoise ETBs (408 packs) and 38 Charizard ETBs (304 packs) to determine pull rate data.
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We wanted to see if there was a higher chance of grabbing blastoise from the blastoise ETBs and vice-versa with the charizards. Holo charizard appearance rate was also on our minds. Since the price has spiked so quickly, is there any correlation to rarity or just nostalgia? Data can be found below:
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 Revere Rares
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Rarity
|
Blastoise ETB | Charizard ETB | Average |
Reverse Common
|
39.46% | 40.46% | 39.89% |
Reverse Uncommon | 33.09% | 28.62% | 31.18% |
Reverse Rare | 9.80% | 7.89% | 8.99% |
Reverse Holo | 7.84% | 12.50% | 9.83% |
Reverse Energy | 6.13% | 5.26% | 5.76% |
Break Card | 3.68% | 5.26% | 4.35% |
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Rares
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Rarity
|
Blastoise ETB | Charizard ETB | Average |
Rare
|
52.94% | 52.96% | 52.95% |
Holo Rare | 14.22% | 15.46% | 14.75% |
Holo Rare Ex | 6.13% | 7.24% | 6.60% |
Holo Rare M Ex | 5.88% | 3.29% | 4.78% |
Golden Rare | 8.09% | 6.58% | 7.44% |
Super Rare | 12.75% | 14.47% | 13.48% |
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 Golden Rares
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Rarity | Blastoise ETB | Charizard ETB | Average |
M Charizard Ex
|
0.49% | 0.00% | 0.28% |
M Blastoise Ex | 1.23% | 0.66% | 0.98% |
M Venusaur Ex | 0.74% | 0.66% | 0.70% |
Pidgeot Ex | 1.23% | 0.99% | 1.12% |
M Pidgeot Ex | 1.47% | 0.99% | 1.26% |
Dragonite Ex | 1.47% | 1.32% | 1.40% |
Mewtwo Ex | 0.98% | 0.33% | 0.70% |
Misty's Determination | 0.49% | 0.99% | 0.70% |
Brock's Grit | 0.00% | 0.66% | 0.28% |
Charizard Holo | 1.47% | 0.99% | 1.26% |
Charizard Reverse Holo | 0.98% | 0.99% | 0.98% |
Charizard Ex | .49% | 0.99% | 0.70% |
Charizard M Ex | .74% | 0.66% | 0.70% |
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Conclusions
- There is no difference in pull rate between the Charizard & Blastoise Elite Trainer Boxes
- The Charizard Holo is less rare than the Charizard Reverse Holo. It is however more expensive. This is probably due to nostalgia from original holos and reverse holos traditionally being less expensive.
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